|

 
    
The one positive thing
about the recall election.
24 September 2003In
the 2000 U.S. presidential election I voted for Ralph Nader, the Green
Party candidate. In that election, the Democratic Party candidate was
beaten (in the courts) by a Republican opponent who should have never
gotten nearly that far, an anti-intellectual who had weaseled his way
into prominence simply by virtue of his pedigree.
In the 2002 California gubernatorial
election I voted for Peter Camejo, the Green Party candidate. In that
election, the incumbent, a Democrat who had won handily in his first
election, was almost beaten by a Republican opponent who should have
never gotten nearly that far. a far-right-wing zealot who had bought
his way into prominence.
In both elections I voted my conscience.
I couldnt get behind either Democratic candidate, even as I abhorred
their Republican opponents. In 2000 my vote was virtually safe, as Al
Gore had California pretty well locked up. In 2002, my vote should have
been just as safe, as Bill Simon had absolutely no business beating
Gray Davis. But as I watched the election results trickle in, for most
of election night the percentages were roughly 50-50, and I was scared:
my Green Party vote might just throw the victory to Simon.
Fortunately, in the end it didnt:
Davis won with 47.4% of the vote, Simon received 42.5%, and Camejo got
5.2%. Had Davis and Simons numbers been reversed, however,
Camejo would have been the spoiler.
I dont agree with the likes of
Nader and Michael Moore when they argue that there are no differences
between the two major parties. That said, the Democratic Party has been
far too reluctant to stand up to the Republicans on crucial issues such
as the invasion of Iraq, the gradual decimation of the environment,
and the constriction of civil liberties, to name but a few. I think
a lot of Green Party members, like me, would support the Democrats more
strongly if we felt they were actually living up to their principles.
Absent that, we need a strong third
party on the left. Though I do feel that it would be best if we had
the time to let the Greens develop slowly working our way up
through city councils and school boards to statewide legislatures and
Congressional offices, to executive state positions and Senate offices,
and perhaps all the way to the White House I think it is still
appropriate to run Green candidates at the highest levels even as we
build our strength locally.
I dont expect the Greens to win
a gubernatorial election in California anytime soon. But I still want
the option of voting for a Green candidate, even if that person cant
win the election. I dont want the Democrats to get the false sense
that I approve of how theyre doing things. I want to let them
know, through the democratic process, that my goals are different than
theirs, though Id still generally prefer that a Democrat beat
a Republican. The best way to do that is to institute a system of preferential
voting.
And thats the only good thing
about the recall election were about to have here in California:
we have the historic opportunity to demonstrate that a more sophisticated
voting process can actually work.
Im dead set against the recall.
Davis won fair and square against an opponent who did far better than
he ever should have, and the Republicans have bought this recall election
in an attempt to hijack the governors mansion the same way they
did the White House three years ago. People signed recall petitions
for spurious reasons, if they had reasons at all. The whole thing is
a circus that has made us the laughingstock of the world, and its
costing us tens of millions of dollars we dont have. Its
a travesty.
But since its here, and all the
legal challenges have been exhausted, we might as well make the best
of it. And the best of it is this: its a two-part election. Whereas
every other election in this country is a single choice either among
a field of candidates or between yes and no on a ballot initiative,
this election is both. First you vote whether to approve or reject the
recall, and then you vote for a replacement. Regardless of how (or whether)
you vote regarding the recall, you still have a voice as to who the
replacement should be if the recall passes.
Getting people to understand the two-part
process is difficult. Even smart people I know initially thought that
if they voted against the recall they wouldnt have the option
of voting for a replacement, because in their minds they were effectively
voting for Davis, and you shouldnt be able to vote for two people.
Now that they understand they can vote on both questions, theyre
faced with a more complicated decision.
Theres a concept in voting analysis
called rolloff or dropoff that examines how
many people vote for the top items on a ballot, such as president, governor,
or Senate, but then dont vote for items further down which havent
gotten as much publicity. Same thing for ballot propositions, where
some people vote on candidates but not on propositions, or they vote
on the most controversial propositions but not on others they know far
less about.
This is what it comes down to: I assume
that more people will vote on the recall question than will vote on
a replacement. If there is no significant rolloff from the recall question
to the replacement question, however, then I think it will demonstrate
that voters are capable of a two-step election.
Its a relatively short leap from
there to preferential voting (also known as instant-runoff voting),
where voters can select, say, their top two or three (or more) choices
for a particular office.
For example, lets pretend were
back at the 2002 gubernatorial election, where there were seven candidates.
But now lets suppose California has a system in which Im
allowed to vote for up to three candidates in preferential order. I
rank the candidates as follows: #1, Camejo; #2, Davis; #3, Iris Adam
(the Natural Law party candidate). Other people vote for their top three
choices out of the field of seven. All the votes initially go to their
respective #1s.
If a candidate receives more than 50%
of the #1 votes, that candidate automatically wins. If no one gets more
than 50%, then the candidate with the fewest #1 votes gets knocked out,
and all of that candidates ballots get redistributed to their
respective #2s (usually at a fraction of a vote each, but lets
ignore that for this argument).
Now the remaining candidates have a
combination of #1 and #2 votes. Again, if someone now has more than
50% of the ballots, that person wins. If not, the person with the fewest
ballots is eliminated, and that candidates ballots get redistributed
to the next in preference. In my pretend system, whoever ends up with
the most ballots wins. (In actuality, however, someone will probably
have received a majority by this point.)
Preferential systems differ, but the
gist is the same: you get to register your conscience at the ballot
box, but you can still vote for the safe candidate you would
have voted for, had you only had one option. If your safe candidate
wins, he or she knows you are holding them to a higher standard.
Preferential voting in this country
is long overdue. They do it in other countries without incident, and
now that we have touch-screen voting, its easier to implement
than ever.
If youre in California, show
the world that were ready for a sophisticated voting system
vote on both questions. If youre not in California, encourage
your family and friends here to turn out and vote on both questions.
Its time for California to be the leader, not the laughingstock.
|